Discussions for vice president of the
United States, traditionally, do not usually have little impact, but this
October 11 between Democrat Joe Biden and Republican Paul Ryan might be an
exception. Especially,
after the trip of President Barack Obama during the first discussion with the
Republican candidate, Mitt Romney, and that meant a drop in the polls for
Democrats.
In fact, in the last poll made public and
conducted by Reuters / Ipso, Romney registered 47% of the voting options
compared to 44% of President Obama, a true back in the results. Obama
has gone to take a lead of almost ten points, according to this latest survey,
go back. Biden
Democrats have to attenuate the momentum achieved by the Republicans.
The shadow of the debate for the presidency
Both Biden and as Ryan seem more comfortable playing in the traditional political role of attack dog, and that may be reflected in a sharp and critical debate than Obama and Romney held.
Both Biden and as Ryan seem more comfortable playing in the traditional political role of attack dog, and that may be reflected in a sharp and critical debate than Obama and Romney held.
"I would be surprised if there were
more fireworks in this debate than there were in the first presidential
debate," said Reuter’s political science professor at the University of
Maine, Mark Brewer.
"Congressman Ryan will try to match
the aggressiveness and confidence last week showed Romney and Vice President
Biden will try to be more assertive, direct, and belligerent critical that
President Obama" said Efe Benjamin Knoll, professor of political Centre
College in Danville, where the debate will take place.
Biden is facing the challenge to halt the decline in the polls has been President Barack Obama from the debate last Thursday in Denver (Colorado), in which, as the president himself acknowledged, was "too right" to attack Romney.
The Democratic candidate, 69-year-old is not known for its reservations and politically correct statements. As a veteran of two presidential campaigns and 36 years in the Senate, is an experienced debater who combines a deep knowledge of the country's politics and positions with a 'down to earth'.
Biden is facing the challenge to halt the decline in the polls has been President Barack Obama from the debate last Thursday in Denver (Colorado), in which, as the president himself acknowledged, was "too right" to attack Romney.
The Democratic candidate, 69-year-old is not known for its reservations and politically correct statements. As a veteran of two presidential campaigns and 36 years in the Senate, is an experienced debater who combines a deep knowledge of the country's politics and positions with a 'down to earth'.
Meanwhile, Ryan, 42, faces for the first
time this type of debate, although it is one of the major ideologues of the
current U.S. conservative movement Combine
polite behavior with his indomitable will reduce the role of the federal
government.
According to Efe said Professor Emeritus
of Vanderbilt University, Erwin Hargrove, Republican candidate "represents
about half of the followers" of his party and is an "apostle
Republican free market capitalism and limited government."
In addition, Ryan has years of experience
selling conservative ideas to voters in a scenario in which there are
especially predisposed to buy. His
constituency in southeastern Wisconsin is one of the most balanced in the
country, but has easily won re-election in the last 14 years, despite its calls
to cut popular programs of social assistance.
Biden pressure
After the first debate between Obama and
Romney, many Democrats have criticized the president for allowing some
accusations of Republican candidate on key issues such as taxes or health,
remain without adequate response.
In fact, after it launched the Democratic
campaign messages accusing Romney of lying about these issues.
For this occasion, Biden himself has said it will not allow the charges on these questions remain unanswered. However, the inclination of Biden to exit the script makes that action is "unpredictable", as pointed Efe University professor Mark Brewer Maine.
For this occasion, Biden himself has said it will not allow the charges on these questions remain unanswered. However, the inclination of Biden to exit the script makes that action is "unpredictable", as pointed Efe University professor Mark Brewer Maine.
The discussion of 'Medicare'
In the same way that the presidential
debate last week focused mainly on economic issues, the vice presidential
debate would focus particularly on health care reform.
Ryan has built its reputation with its
proposal to partially privatize the government's plan on social security for
the elderly and disabled, in an effort to keep health costs engulf the federal
budget.
Democrats, meanwhile, say the plan would
force retirees to pay thousands of dollars for medical treatment.
Thursday's debate could be the best opportunity for the Republican nomination to win over independent voters who are concerned that Obama has not done enough to curb the budget deficit of a trillion dollars, and the attack on the health plan can be a good weapon.
Thursday's debate could be the best opportunity for the Republican nomination to win over independent voters who are concerned that Obama has not done enough to curb the budget deficit of a trillion dollars, and the attack on the health plan can be a good weapon.
Other Matters
Recent developments, especially in Libya
where the U.S. ambassador was killed after an attack on the embassy in
Benghazi, have served the Romney campaign to intensify their criticism of the
Obama administration over its foreign policy, especially in the Middle East, accusing it of weakness.
Ryan said a Romney administration and Ryan
would follow a strategy of "peace through strength", a clear
reference to national security theme favored by the Reagan Administration.
However, the Republican candidate will
face a veteran with extensive foreign policy experience. And
while national security is a portfolio that has favored the GOP in past
elections, the death of Osama bin Laden and the safety program of the Obama administration
in Pakistan drone, perhaps help explain the consistent advantage of the
President on the subject in
the polls.
Professor Benjamin Knoll Biden expected to
turn to one of his favorite sayings campaign, "Osama Bin Laden is dead and
General Motors is alive", to "remind viewers triumph over bin
Laden."
On paper, the mismatch of the two
candidates on foreign policy is total. But that
does not necessarily mean that Biden take advantage. "Sometimes
you know so much, you're ineffective," said the professor at Southern
Methodist University, Cal Jillson. "What
Biden has to do is take everything you know and distill it into something
easily digestible for voters who are not experts. Ryan has to do the same, but
it also has to sound like he knew enough to be believable" .
While Biden received his final training
sessions at his home in Wilmington (Delaware), Ryan arrive this Thursday at
Lexington (Kentucky) to attend a campaign rally and then move to Danville, the
quiet town of just over 16,000 people this Thursday
will host the only vice presidential debate of the campaign.
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