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Minggu, 21 Oktober 2012

The Debate Between Biden and Ryan in Numbers



Interesting is the analysis conducted by the Washington Post about the vice presidential debate between Joe Biden and his Republican rival, Rep. Paul Ryan (Wis.).

And is that when politicians talk, analysts are fixed throughout.

And that was precisely what made Chris Calizza in his column, The Fix.

Calizza bother to list some of the words that either caught his eye, or were considered important during the heated debate both held last week in Danville, Kentucky.

Among other issues, Biden and Ryan discussed the Middle East conflict, Medicare, Iran, taxes and abortion.
Here, for you to do your own analysis, some of the figures in question:

  • 30, the number of occasions when Biden mentioned the word curl and Medicare. Apparently, the issue of health coverage is more important than it seems.
  • "47 percent", a number that will probably remain uncomfortable for Mitt Romney, Republican presidential candidate.
  • 53, the number of occasions on which the name of the Republican candidate to the White House was mentioned in the debate.
  • 3, the number of times that Biden said the word "nonsense". That was the label's vice president Ryan's stance on foreign policy.
  • 14, the number of times that Biden referred to Ryan as "my friend", although little was in friendly encounter
  • 4, the occasions on which each candidate said "abortion."

Sabtu, 20 Oktober 2012

Joe Biden Aggressive in the Debate Ryan




Democrats, panicked and depressed after the disappointing performance of President Barack Obama in the first presidential debate to Republican Mitt Romney, have recovered the mood this morning.

Vice President Joe Biden, unlike Obama last week, passionately attacked his opponent, Congressman Paul Ryan, has insisted correct inaccuracies Republican discourse, and has sought the emotional connection with Democratic voters.

But the dramatic and aggressive style of vice and the repeated interruptions of rival have contrasted with the serenity and didactic tone of Ryan. After the debate, the Republicans and their supporters have called Biden disrespectful and rude.

"Fool," he described the tertuliana Republican Mary Matalin on CNN.

It is unlikely that the debate between the vice presidential candidates, held in Danville (Kentucky), alters the dynamics of an election in recent days have equalized. But the pace and intensity of lively exchanges contrast with technocratic debate last week.

Everyone has their role. Ryan, the president of defining as a choice between two visions of America, most unfriendly soften the angles of his plans to reform the welfare state, and to highlight the failure of the four years of Obama.

"You deserve better," said the final intervention studied.

The Republican has not shown, at times there may be inexperienced sin, and has rarely had the initiative. But the rain has held up well as dialectical Biden diligent student who has no choice but to listen to the arguments of 'Uncle Joe' at the corner pub. Ryan and Biden are Catholic and of Irish origin.

"They inherited a difficult situation? Without doubt," Ryan admitted. "But we're going in the wrong direction. Look where we are Economy is just beginning to walk."

Biden has tried to redeem the defeat of Obama with Romney in the debate of Denver (Colorado). No one has missed or Ryan accusation. Brought its experience of four decades in the forefront of politics. And played the card blue collar, from its roots in the working class, effective with groups of voters can be decisive on November 6.

What matters in this debate is not so much who has gained as the fact that some air gives President Obama after the worst week of his campaign. Following the discussion of Denver, Romney has recovered almost all the polls and, for the first time, the possibility of a defeat in November crosses the minds of many Democrats.

In Denver Americans discovered a new Romney: Moderate more focused and more confident, friendly, very different from the ruthless plutocrat who paints Democratic propaganda. And, according to the polls, they liked.

Yesterday's debate early Friday in Europe and it starred Ryan Biden, but the role of both in the choice is very secondary. From what point was to promote the candidacy of candidates for the White House, Obama and Romney. On Tuesday, the two will meet again in Hempstead (New York), in the second of three debates before the election. Obama has a lot to learn from Biden. In Kentucky Biden has been the anti-Obama.

In the first debate with Romney, Obama became entangled in long procedures and technocratic arguments. Biden, from the beginning, has launched a few simple arguments: we will not make wars we will protect the middle class.

Obama decided not refute any of the arguments for Romney and then reproached supporters that allowed Democrats to Republican truthfully repeatedly. In Kentucky Biden has questioned from the beginning every argument Ryan and repeatedly appealed to the "facts".

Most strikingly, in the Presidential debate in Denver, was perhaps that Romney attack Obama circumvented in some of its weaker flanks: private statements you despised half of voters who receive public subsidies, and low tax rates which, despite being a billionaire, submit your income.

Biden, to Ryan, has attacked Romney these flanks in the opening minutes of the debate, and did so with an emotional language: "This talk of my father and my mother," he said in reference to the sentence in which Romney spoke 47% of voters who receive a form and other state aid. "You're talking about the places where I grew up."

When candidates have addressed the reform of Medicare (the public health system for over 65 years), Biden said: "With common sense, who do you trust this?"

Ryan believes that the current system is unsustainable and proposes a radical reform which could mean the semi-privatization of the system. The Obama campaign used the Ryan plan to capture the vote of retirees in Florida, a swing state, but the Ryan plan would only affect those under 55.

Foreign policy has dominated much of the debate, moderated by journalist Martha Raddatz. From Iran to Syria, via Afghanistan and the Arab Spring, Biden and Ryan have contrasted their views on the most pressing issues for American diplomacy.

The assault on the U.S. consulate Benghazi (Libya) amemanza becoming a problem for the Obama campaign. Deportation of ambassador Chris Stevens, who died during the assault, and the confusing and contradictory explanations, if not wrong, after the attack left in a bad position to the Obama Administration.
"What we see on our television screens is the collapse of Obama's foreign policy," said Ryan.

On abortion, Biden and Ryan responses reflect the diversity of Catholics in the U.S. Both agreed that life begins at the moment of conception. But Biden said he did not want to impose this vision to others. Ryan has promised that a Romney Administration will oppose abortion except in cases of incest, rape and danger to the life of the mother.

Senin, 15 Oktober 2012

Biden Helps Democrats to Mobilize the Electorate




It was a great show that probably won Joe Biden, the most militant and vigorous. But, unsurprisingly, the debate between the current vice president and the Republican, Paul Ryan, not decided anything in this campaign. If anything, served to confirm that the Democratic Party is in need of an emotional boost to mobilize their voters in order to win this election.

In the debate on Thursday in Danville (Kentucky), Biden did what he could in that sense, it was pretty. But who has to get it, really, is Barack Obama in the debate next Tuesday in New York. The Democratic Party had until recently all the pieces to get the win on Nov. 6: the favorable economic trend, the proper management in the previous mandate and the creation of an electoral majority more than enough. But voters are deflated with the discussion of Denver, where they saw the worst version of Obama, which lost him supporters in these four years, and now many are wondering what to do.

For some analysts, Obama Biden taught the way to go. Vigorous, compelling, passionate verging on rude, showed Biden believe in his candidacy and expressed ambition and reason enough to be reelected. Now Obama asked to do the same, but Obama is not Biden. Moreover, Obama is the opposite of Biden, and ask a similar transformation can be risky.

Biden has achieved at least stop the discouragement that had been generated among Democrats. You may also stop the fall of the Democratic nomination in the polls, which are now essentially equal, with slight advantages for Obama in most battleground states.

The vice president had difficulty explaining why no more security in the diplomatic representation in Benghazi at the time of the attack that killed the U.S. ambassador, but dominated the scenario in most of the rest of the debate. Wisely defended the government's economic policy and frequently exposed his rival to the fact that the Republican nomination is not actually a viable alternative to offer. "Stop talking about how you help people, teach me something, show me a policy proposal," said one of the brightest moments of the night.

Ryan did not get to be on the ropes in no time. Although Biden stumbled when he showed that he, as a congressman from Wisconsin, had taken advantage of the economic stimulus plan in his own state, he managed to bring to light some of the weak points of performance management, such as the excessive public spending. "Not enough nor rich enough for small businesses to raise taxes to pay for what you spend," said running mate for Mitt Romney.

But, perhaps, the main merit of Ryan, as the Romney himself a week earlier, was to shed the label of extremist reached with the debate. Romney-Ryan duo decided to sprint toward the center in the remaining days until the election, and, so far, is succeeding in that effort. In his recent speeches, both have shown conciliators in cases that were previously extremely belligerent, as health care reform or abortion, and have not scored a great distance with the government on foreign policy.

Romney said these days that keep some aspects of health reform and Obama has no plans to legislate on abortion. In his speech on Monday on foreign policy, respect the deadlines for withdrawal from Afghanistan and called for intervention in Syria or an immediate attack on Iran. In Thursday's debate, Ryan accused the current president of weakness with Iran, but did not mention how a Republican president would be stronger, except with more sanctions.

This shift from the Republican to the center makes it difficult for Obama to use what had been their main weapon so far in this campaign: the alarm about the danger of the right. But at the same time, you get another that has been little used so far: the constant changes of opinion Romney. There are many videos of the Republican candidate promising to eliminate the federal law on abortion rights and health care reform repeal the first day of his presidency, Obama's advisers will not have much difficulty to choose one with which to expose their contradictions Romney.

Something is supposed to happen in the debate next Tuesday. There is enormous pressure on Obama to be more aggressive, to remove all possible dirt. It's like asking a snail quicken the pace. But if Obama loses the second debate, the problems of today can begin to be unsolvable.