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Sabtu, 20 Oktober 2012

Joe Biden Aggressive in the Debate Ryan




Democrats, panicked and depressed after the disappointing performance of President Barack Obama in the first presidential debate to Republican Mitt Romney, have recovered the mood this morning.

Vice President Joe Biden, unlike Obama last week, passionately attacked his opponent, Congressman Paul Ryan, has insisted correct inaccuracies Republican discourse, and has sought the emotional connection with Democratic voters.

But the dramatic and aggressive style of vice and the repeated interruptions of rival have contrasted with the serenity and didactic tone of Ryan. After the debate, the Republicans and their supporters have called Biden disrespectful and rude.

"Fool," he described the tertuliana Republican Mary Matalin on CNN.

It is unlikely that the debate between the vice presidential candidates, held in Danville (Kentucky), alters the dynamics of an election in recent days have equalized. But the pace and intensity of lively exchanges contrast with technocratic debate last week.

Everyone has their role. Ryan, the president of defining as a choice between two visions of America, most unfriendly soften the angles of his plans to reform the welfare state, and to highlight the failure of the four years of Obama.

"You deserve better," said the final intervention studied.

The Republican has not shown, at times there may be inexperienced sin, and has rarely had the initiative. But the rain has held up well as dialectical Biden diligent student who has no choice but to listen to the arguments of 'Uncle Joe' at the corner pub. Ryan and Biden are Catholic and of Irish origin.

"They inherited a difficult situation? Without doubt," Ryan admitted. "But we're going in the wrong direction. Look where we are Economy is just beginning to walk."

Biden has tried to redeem the defeat of Obama with Romney in the debate of Denver (Colorado). No one has missed or Ryan accusation. Brought its experience of four decades in the forefront of politics. And played the card blue collar, from its roots in the working class, effective with groups of voters can be decisive on November 6.

What matters in this debate is not so much who has gained as the fact that some air gives President Obama after the worst week of his campaign. Following the discussion of Denver, Romney has recovered almost all the polls and, for the first time, the possibility of a defeat in November crosses the minds of many Democrats.

In Denver Americans discovered a new Romney: Moderate more focused and more confident, friendly, very different from the ruthless plutocrat who paints Democratic propaganda. And, according to the polls, they liked.

Yesterday's debate early Friday in Europe and it starred Ryan Biden, but the role of both in the choice is very secondary. From what point was to promote the candidacy of candidates for the White House, Obama and Romney. On Tuesday, the two will meet again in Hempstead (New York), in the second of three debates before the election. Obama has a lot to learn from Biden. In Kentucky Biden has been the anti-Obama.

In the first debate with Romney, Obama became entangled in long procedures and technocratic arguments. Biden, from the beginning, has launched a few simple arguments: we will not make wars we will protect the middle class.

Obama decided not refute any of the arguments for Romney and then reproached supporters that allowed Democrats to Republican truthfully repeatedly. In Kentucky Biden has questioned from the beginning every argument Ryan and repeatedly appealed to the "facts".

Most strikingly, in the Presidential debate in Denver, was perhaps that Romney attack Obama circumvented in some of its weaker flanks: private statements you despised half of voters who receive public subsidies, and low tax rates which, despite being a billionaire, submit your income.

Biden, to Ryan, has attacked Romney these flanks in the opening minutes of the debate, and did so with an emotional language: "This talk of my father and my mother," he said in reference to the sentence in which Romney spoke 47% of voters who receive a form and other state aid. "You're talking about the places where I grew up."

When candidates have addressed the reform of Medicare (the public health system for over 65 years), Biden said: "With common sense, who do you trust this?"

Ryan believes that the current system is unsustainable and proposes a radical reform which could mean the semi-privatization of the system. The Obama campaign used the Ryan plan to capture the vote of retirees in Florida, a swing state, but the Ryan plan would only affect those under 55.

Foreign policy has dominated much of the debate, moderated by journalist Martha Raddatz. From Iran to Syria, via Afghanistan and the Arab Spring, Biden and Ryan have contrasted their views on the most pressing issues for American diplomacy.

The assault on the U.S. consulate Benghazi (Libya) amemanza becoming a problem for the Obama campaign. Deportation of ambassador Chris Stevens, who died during the assault, and the confusing and contradictory explanations, if not wrong, after the attack left in a bad position to the Obama Administration.
"What we see on our television screens is the collapse of Obama's foreign policy," said Ryan.

On abortion, Biden and Ryan responses reflect the diversity of Catholics in the U.S. Both agreed that life begins at the moment of conception. But Biden said he did not want to impose this vision to others. Ryan has promised that a Romney Administration will oppose abortion except in cases of incest, rape and danger to the life of the mother.

Senin, 15 Oktober 2012

The Two Parties are Advocating Before the Advance of Romney in the Polls




The latest survey put back on Mitt Romney head. According to CNN, the Republican candidate for the White House takes a point to President Barack Obama (48% versus 47% in voting intentions) and forces both parties face strong bet tomorrow's debate between vice. In more unequal, the face-off to be held in Danville (Kentucky) would not provide great weight to the race but the numbers are tight and the candidates will take the rest of his party.

There is already talking of mourning for generations. The veteran Democratic politician of 69 years, Joe Biden, compared with young allied to Tea Party Republican, Paul Ryan, 42. Experts say that Ryan will try to connect with younger voters and discuss general issues avoiding data own figures and a professorship of a living room, which is where you will find most sat morning viewers in prime time (9 pm EDT eastern U.S., three in the morning in Spain) when initiating discussion between Ryan and Biden.

As chairman of the Budget Committee of the House of Representatives, Ryan will feel comfortable when launching into topics that touch the debt and taxes but try to tiptoe around what to do with international affairs, especially since front will a man who has been chairman of the Foreign Affairs Committee of the Senate and he was also in the political arena when he began to take its first steps.

If out of tomorrow's debate a victory for Ryan, Republicans would find a good position in the final stretch of the campaign. The pressure is on Biden, senator from Delaware since 1973 until his resignation to accompany Obama when he arrived at the White House in 2009. The former senator has the difficult task of stopping the fall of the surveys recorded by Obama after his bad work in the debate last Wednesday in Denver (Colorado). A poor performance by Biden unbalances only more against the states that Democrats have not yet decided how to vote.

Ryan has not participated in a campaign debate since he first competed for a seat-in-native Wisconsin for over 14 years. Biden, whose folksy style can play a trick and make him commit some awkwardly faced Sarah Palin in 2008 and passed the test without falling into some provocations of the former Governor of Alaska.

As usual, both candidates are preparing their participation day tomorrow, which will take place at Centre College in Danville. Heads up what Martha Raddatz moderate, foreign policy correspondent for ABC News.

The moderator will open the issues with a question after which candidates will have two minutes to respond. Then monitor the discussion Raddatz develop an equitable use of time.

Ryan has prepared his debut with Ted Olson, playing the part of Biden, who was Deputy Attorney General in the administration of George W. Bush, while Biden has used the ranking Democrat on the Budget Committee of the House, Chris Van Hollen, in the role of Ryan, to match it in fiscal policy issues.

Debate between vice there is only one. Obama and Romney face each other again on Tuesday October 16 in the State of New York and Monday 22 in Boca Raton (Florida).

Barack Obama Will Win


The tone of the press after the first of three planned debates between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney fills me with astonishment. Not that Romney was not, in fact, better than expected. Not that Obama is not shew, a bit like Sarkozy against Holland, strangely defensive, far from his usual charisma, unprepared. But to say that the first has "taken advantage", proclaiming that the latter has "collapsed", even on the brink of collapse and lost their "favorite status", in other words, to present this debate as the great "event "as the great" shift "could justify a new" card sharing "and cast uncertainty over the outcome of an election that already took for resolute demonstrates an ignorance quite strange mechanism chaired this election.

As Tocqueville noted, and never be said often enough, the U.S. presidential elections are really strange in one votes state by state and nationally. What is at stake in these 51 different choices (one for each state, plus the District of Washington) is still on the chair, but of the 538 electors who, in a second meeting in an Electoral College, chosen President leaving no room for real surprises.

And as each state is given a number of electors variable, because the sum of their representatives in Congress and in the Senate (three by South Dakota, for example, but 55-CA), and the so-called rule of winner -take-all means that, except in Maine and Nebraska, where things are a bit more complicated, the winner Cleaning up all the seats at stake, as well as the corresponding Electoral College votes (and win by one thousand or five thousand votes, both Obama and Romney may have the three constituents of the 55 Dakota or California), the system has political effects should also not lose sight.

There are states (such as California, precisely) where Democrats dominate so clearly and so neither long nor Obama-Romney-or speak of them or just visit them or they spend too much money. There are other states (like Tennessee) in which, on the contrary, the balance tips so for Romney that he and his opponent campaigning bother them and they do not spend but a symbolic part of their resources . In other words, the battle is concentrated only in the swing states, swing states, where nothing is certain and everything can take a sudden turn. And within those 10 or 12 swing states, especially those who, thanks to their demographic weight and therefore political largest voters will report to the victor (obviously, neither candidate will devote the same efforts to the battle for Ohio, with its 18 electors, than New Hampshire, which represents only four).

Although, of course, nothing is written. Not the first time a state addicted to this or that candidate is passed to the other side (in the 30's, the West Coast went from Republicans and Democrats in the 80 southern states walked the opposite way) . And perhaps we are witnessing the transformation of Texas, a state traditionally adept Republicans in a swing state, following its 26% Hispanic (unlike in the previous elections, in these, the battle for this state will be hard).

But this is the beginning. With two consequences, concrete and unequivocal. These national elections (although virtually international, since the whole planet depends on them) often seem local: how to avoid it in Des Moines, Iowa, a city to which both candidates were displaced last summer at least ... 14 times!, All focus primarily on local issues, if not parochial, of Des Moines, Iowa?

And as for those great debates led to the nation, it is clear that, in a similar pattern, they have nowhere near the impact that grow to a Jacobean country like France, which enjoys universal suffrage electoral system "normal". You can go further and imagine situations that could be quite counterproductive and subtract votes instead of adding them. (Suppose, and is a textbook example-that the promise of subsidies to farmers in Minnesota is perceived by the workers of Michigan as a reduction to receive them: one thing to make that promise a low voice in an interview Minneapolis television and other make with fanfare on CNN, true national echo chamber).

Perhaps this is one reason the mysterious restraint of Obama during the debate of Denver. And so I do not think it would jeopardize their chances of winning.

Your victory will be good for America. Whatever they say, will be good news for the rest of the world. And, when I write these lines, there is no reason to doubt that she had four years ago for the same dates. Barack Obama will probably be the next president of the United States.