Jumat, 19 Oktober 2012

Ten Lessons Ryan-Biden Debates



The election result will not decide the debate between Paul Ryan and Joe Biden. The vice presidential candidates exchanged blows in a debate dialectical much more alive and more cunning than Barack Obama and Mitt Romney held a few days ago. These conclusions ten left Danville televised duel.

1.       No clear winner
This time none steamrolled. Darts were exchanged and some low blows. The vice president came to the lesson and did what Obama did in Denver last week. Ryan was not as bright as Romney. But adopted a serene attitude that made him look good. Got for winning polls and analysts Ryan declared a draw. Good for the Republicans, who still lead in the polls.

2.        Raising morale
The aim of Biden was haranguing Democrats low hours and succeeded. His combative style was a cry to bases disappointed by the president's passivity. But the impression here is that the vice president spent braking. He overran laughter and histrionic gestures and lacked respect for his opponent. His arguments were good. But he lost the debate on the forms. A KO points and no.

3.       The challenge
Ryan's challenge was presented as a politician ready to be president if the time comes and he did with a tone and content without fanfare. He presented his arguments with ease in economic affairs. Although he suffered to explain his position on abortion and was not loose in addressing foreign policy. Yet polls showed that more than his rival liked and those who watched the debate thought he was better prepared to reach the White House. Quite an achievement against a veteran like Joe Biden.

4.       Rivals like
A Ryan and Biden are joined by many similarities. Both are career politicians and profess the Catholic religion. Both suffered a major loss at a young age: his father Ryan infarction Biden and his wife and youngest daughter in a traffic accident. The debate made evident their opposing views on the future of U.S. fruit of the doldrums perhaps reflecting their age. Biden (69) tried their proposals whisper in the ear of the "baby boomers". Ryan (42) was presented as the image of generational change.

5.       Only a protagonist
Biden was the undisputed star of the debate. It was as loud as effective. Best foreign policy in economics and better when he spoke when he kept talking to her rival. No Obama quoted by name once. Perhaps still have his sights set on a possible future election.

6.       More pressure for Obama
Biden's verbal aggression even further increases the pressure on Obama, who is bound to win his match on Tuesday in New York. Will the strategy outlined by the second? Should not that scare the undecided? You must find a middle ground between the bluff and not appear. But above all should make a solid discussion. Obama still does not offer a memorable moment in this campaign. The staged there but the other: Michelle, Bill Clinton, Joe Biden on Thursday.

7.       Echoes of 2016
Both Biden and Ryan harbor presidential ambitions and this were clear in Thursday's debate. The vice president tried to gain the respect of their bases, which often presented as a leader prone to whining and blunders. The applicant sought to show that he is a politician with fewer edges than indicating a caricature and can conquer less extremist voters by stressing the need for spending cuts. Both got what they wanted. But Ryan is still a much more credible candidate for 2016. Has time on his side.

8.       Mal on abortion
The worst moment was Ryan's question about abortion. It was dry and lacking in words stating the official position of the campaign, which defends only in cases of incest, rape or risk to the mother's health. Congressman voted much more radical laws on Capitol Hill and its position is to the right of Romney. It was a very difficult question for him and very damaging for Republicans, who need to reduce the gap between women that still separates them from the president.

9.       Foreign Policy
Biden goofed when discussing the attack on the U.S. consulate in the Libyan city of Benghazi. But otherwise, won by a landslide in debate on foreign policy. Ryan failed to articulate the differences would Romney presidency for U.S. relations with its allies. Nor could say for sure what Obama should have done in crisis as negotiations with Syria or Iran. Still, it is important to remember that this time foreign policy is a matter irrelevant. The economy and the deficit are the issues of greatest concern to citizens.

10.   A duel irrelevant
The debate Thursday night just influences the election outcome. There were no gaffes or mistakes very obvious. It was an exchange that satisfied the bases and left without answers to those who still have not decided who to vote for. The elections are decided by the presidential candidates. Moreover in this campaign as polarized as even and where every vote could be crucial. Romney remains ahead in the RCP index which several national polls. Although still lagging behind in key battleground states like Ohio and Virginia needed to win. On Tuesday, Obama will face in a debate that seems crucial. So it may be easier to predict the election result.

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